Three Locks For Best Actor Already

Categories: Film

That's what insiders are saying--the kind of insiders who are usually right sometimes.

Oscar's Best Actor locks already seem to be:

Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln

Duh. We knew this the second the movie was announced.

Denzel Washington for Flight

People are so happy he got a quality script again, they want to reward him. The nomination will be Oscar's version of frequent flier miles.

John Hawkes for The Sessions

A paraplegic in an iron lung having intercourse for the first time--and with an Oscar winner? Can't miss.

The other two nominees will probably come from the following possibilities:

Joaquin Phoenix for The Master. The movie lost money, but he was amazing and Harvey will give it a big push.

Richard Gere for Arbitrage. Guilt over his never having been nominated could work in his favor.

Matt Damon in Promised Land. It's by Gus Van Sant, who did Good Will Hunting, Matt's last Best Actor nod.

Bill Murray for Hyde Park on Hudson. You can never have enough Presidents in one category.

Anthony Hopkins as Hitchcock. Though Hitch himself oddly never won for Director.

Bradley Cooper for Silver Linings Playbook. Mainly because The Hangover III hasn't come out yet, lol.

Jamie Foxx for Django Unchained. Which I insist on calling Dreamgirls Unchained.

And Hugh Jackman for Les Miserables. It requires great courage to sing live--and wear that beard!

We shall see--in only two and a half months.

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I disagree about Joaquin Phoenix. Rex Reed perfectly called out his "performance" (and the entire movie, for that matter): 


"As for Joaquin Phoenix, his idea of conveying brain damage is to walk around with a bone protruding from his shoulder blade, hunched over in a loping position, like a pretzel-shaped orangutan. Is he auditioning for The Elephant Man? Grotesquely mannered for no reason, his facial expressions range from gross distortions to blank novocained stares. They call this acting, but it’s acting from the Sacha Baron Cohen School of Dramatic Art. No director who knows anything about real acting would allow this much self-indulgence to plod on ad infinitum. I’ve got news for Mr. Phoenix, Mr. Anderson and company: on-screen schizophrenia wears out its welcome real fast."


Bravo, Rex.


I think it'll be Day-Lewis, Hawkes, Denzel, Hugh J, and Bradley C. Not a bad bunch.


John Hawkes would surprise me.

The Sessions reminds me of The Theory of Flight (1998).

Helena Bonham Carter wasn't nominated for her disabled character in search of sex.


I agree on Daniel and Denzel but it's very hard for an actor to get three Oscars.  Hawkes isn't well-known enough so if Matt or Hugh get rave reviews the Oscar could be theirs.  (Richard?  I think he'll have to be content with a nomination.  Same with Bill Murray.)