Freddy & Tony Go Neck & Neck
In the past week or so polls have predicted just about every possible order-of-finish for the Dems. Quinnipiac has it Ferrer-Weiner-Miller-Field. Pace calls it Ferrer-Miller-Fields-Weiner. The New York Times predicts Ferrer-Weiner-Fields-Miller. All hint that Ferrer hasn't got the magic 40 percent yet. But until Marist's Friday poll, none have suggested that Ferrer might not place first.
He still probably will. The tricky part is that the debates are over, so it might be tough for Ferrer to arrest the dynamic in the race that seems (assuming the polls are close to right) to be moving toward Weiner. But there's difference between "likely" voters in polls and "actual" voters on Tuesday. For Freddy and everyone else, it's all about turnout.